MMEE2024

Mathematical Models in Ecology and Evolution

July 15-18, 2024
Vienna, AUSTRIA

"Diversity begets stability: sublinear growth and competitive coexistence across ecosystems."

Mazzarisi, Onofrio

The dramatic loss of species diversity brings urgency to understanding how diverse ecosystems are naturally stabilized. Whereas conventional wisdom and observation suggest that stability increases with diversity, ecological theory has long made the opposite prediction, leading to the longstanding “diversity-stability debate”. We show this puzzle can be resolved through a model where growth scales as a sublinear power law with biomass (exponent < 1), exhibiting a form of population self-regulation analogous to models of individual ontogeny. We show that competitive interactions in a community with sublinear growth do not lead to exclusion but instead promote stability at higher diversity. Our model realigns theory with classic observations and predicts large-scale macroecological patterns, from plankton to mammals. However, it makes an unsettling prediction: biodiversity loss may accelerate the destabilization of ecosystems.

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