MMEE2024

Mathematical Models in Ecology and Evolution

July 15-18, 2024
Vienna, AUSTRIA

"On the role of deleterious mutations in long-term evolution"

Sharma, Nikhil

Birth-death models have long been employed to understand the interplay of genetic drift and natural selection. While well-mixed populations are insensitive to the choice of the individual type for replacement-parent or offspring- this choice strongly influences the evolutionary outcomes for spatially structured populations. Moving parent individuals to vacant sites gives rise to new update rules, leading to new fixation categories for spatial graphs. We discover a new category of graphs, amplifiers of fixation, where a structure has a higher probability of fixation for mutants than the well-mixed population, regardless of its fitness value. Under death-Birth updating with parents moving to vacant sites, the star graph is an amplifier of fixation. For very large population sizes, the probability to fix deleterious mutants on the star graph converges to a non-zero value, contradicting the result from well-mixed populations where the probability goes to zero. Additionally, most random graphs are amplifiers of fixation for death-Birth updating, with parent individuals replacing dead individuals. Conversely, most random graphs are suppressors of fixation- graphs with lower fixation probability for mutants regardless of their fitnesses- for Birth-death updating with offspring replacing dead individuals. When subjected to long-term evolution, amplifiers of fixation, despite being more efficient at fixing beneficial mutants, attain lower fitness than the well-mixed population, whereas suppressors attain higher fitness despite their inferior ability to fix beneficial mutants. These surprising findings can be explained by their deleterious mutant regime. Therefore, the deleterious mutant regime is equally crucial as the beneficial mutant regime for adaptive evolution.

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